Previews
Live LoL Oct 15 — Nov 8 · United States · 22 teams

Worlds Championship 2026: live title chances

Bilibili Gaming holds a 29% title chance at Worlds Championship, about one run in three or so, which still leaves 71% for everyone else. Dplus KIA is the dark horse: fifth in strength, 3% to win it all, and a bracket path worth watching.

The road to the trophy — now

Before kickoff → now · updated Oct 20
  1. Bilibili Gaming 29%
  2. Gen.G Esports 17%
  3. Hanwha Life Esports 15%
  4. Anyone's Legend 7%
  5. Dplus KIA 3%
  6. T1 3%
  7. G2 Esports 2%
  8. Karmine Corp 2%
  9. Other 11 teams 3%

The shaded part is already played.

Play-in: next matches and Pick'Em

Right now the tournament is live, and the Swiss stage is where the early damage gets done. Bilibili Gaming is the team to beat, with a 29% chance of finishing 3-0, and Hanwha Life Esports is next at 21%. Those are the likeliest perfect records.

The other end of the table is just as telling. Movistar KOI has a 17% chance of going 0-3 and LØS sits at 16%. That is roughly one run in six for each. Still, the Swiss stage is forgiving: 6 more teams are listed with at least a 49% chance to advance. One bad day will not end a good team's tournament, but a second one usually does.

Next matches · October 23 — October 24
  1. Oct 23 · Bo1
    Gen.G Esports 75% Invictus Gaming 25%
  2. Oct 23 · Bo1
    Team Liquid 62% CTBC Flying Oyster 38%
  3. Oct 23 · Bo1
    Anyone's Legend 58% Karmine Corp 42%
  4. Oct 23 · Bo1
    Dplus KIA 52% G2 Esports 48%
  5. Oct 23 · Bo1
    Hanwha Life Esports 73% TOP Esports 27%
  6. Oct 23 · Bo1
    T1 61% LØS 39%
  7. Oct 23 · Bo1
    Team Secret Whales 52% Lyon Gaming 48%
  8. Oct 24 · Bo1 Decides it
    Bilibili Gaming 78% Movistar KOI 22%
Pick'Em
3-0 Go 3-0
  • Bilibili Gaming Bilibili Gaming 29%
  • Hanwha Life Esports Hanwha Life Esports 21%
Adv Advance
  • Gen.G Esports Gen.G Esports 72%
  • Anyone's Legend Anyone's Legend 57%
  • G2 Esports G2 Esports 50%
  • T1 T1 50%
  • Team Liquid Team Liquid 49%
  • Karmine Corp Karmine Corp 49%
0-3 Go 0-3
  • Movistar KOI Movistar KOI 17%
  • LØS LØS 16%

Who reaches the playoffs

The Knockout Stage is where the numbers turn into a bracket. The likeliest final is Gen.G Esports against Bilibili Gaming, and it shows up in only 7% of runs. That is about one in 14. Even the most natural final is a rare outcome.

The match that decides the most is Bilibili Gaming against Movistar KOI on October 24. Bilibili Gaming comes in as the favourite at 29%, so that result matters for how the bracket opens up. Dplus KIA is the quiet name here. It ranks fifth in strength, so a deep run would be a result in line with its seed, not a miracle. At 3%, it still needs everything to break its way.

  1. Bilibili Gaming 80%
  2. Gen.G Esports 71%
  3. Hanwha Life Esports 70%
  4. Anyone's Legend 55%
  5. Dplus KIA 47%
  6. T1 49%
  7. G2 Esports 49%
  8. Karmine Corp 48%
Before kickoff

Title chances

Here is the honest summary. Bilibili Gaming is the favourite at 29%, about one Worlds in three or so, and still loses the other 71% of the time. Gen.G Esports at 17% and Hanwha Life Esports at 15% are real threats, not footnotes.

The field is wide. Anyone's Legend has 7%, Dplus KIA and T1 have 3% each, G2 Esports and Karmine Corp 2% each, and the rest share 22%. The tournament runs October 15 to November 8, across Play-in, Swiss stage and Knockout Stage. That is a lot of games for a favourite to survive. If you back a side, expect it to need some luck as well as skill.

29%
Favourite now · Bilibili Gaming
  1. Bilibili Gaming 29%
  2. Gen.G Esports 17%
  3. Hanwha Life Esports 15%
  4. Anyone's Legend 7%
  5. Dplus KIA 3%
  6. T1 3%
  7. G2 Esports 2%
  8. Karmine Corp 2%
  9. Other 11 teams 3%

Team by team

Each team's road now: the chance to reach every stage.

Bilibili Gaming at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 80% 41% 29%

The wall: Hanwha Life Esports. Key day: Saturday, October 24, against Movistar KOI.

Beat Movistar KOI and playoff chances go from 80% to 86%.

Gen.G Esports at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 71% 28% 17%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Invictus Gaming.

Beat Invictus Gaming and playoff chances go from 71% to 79%.

Hanwha Life Esports at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 70% 25% 15%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against TOP Esports.

Beat TOP Esports and playoff chances go from 70% to 78%.

Anyone's Legend at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 55% 14% 7%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Karmine Corp.

Beat Karmine Corp and playoff chances go from 55% to 69%.

Dplus KIA at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 47% 8% 3%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against G2 Esports.

Beat G2 Esports and playoff chances go from 47% to 64%.

T1 at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 49% 7% 3%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against LØS.

Beat LØS and playoff chances go from 49% to 63%.

G2 Esports at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 49% 7% 2%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Dplus KIA.

Beat Dplus KIA and playoff chances go from 49% to 68%.

Karmine Corp at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 48% 6% 2%

The wall: Bilibili Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Anyone's Legend.

Beat Anyone's Legend and playoff chances go from 48% to 71%.

Show all 19 teams

Team Liquid at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 49% 5% 1%

The wall: Anyone's Legend. Key day: Friday, October 23, against CTBC Flying Oyster.

Beat CTBC Flying Oyster and playoff chances go from 49% to 63%.

Team Secret Whales at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 47% 4% 1%

The wall: Anyone's Legend. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Lyon Gaming.

Beat Lyon Gaming and playoff chances go from 47% to 66%.

Lyon Gaming at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 47% 3% 1%

Key day: Friday, October 23, against Team Secret Whales.

Beat Team Secret Whales and playoff chances go from 47% to 67%.

LØS at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 39% 2% 0%

Key day: Friday, October 23, against T1.

Beat T1 and playoff chances go from 39% to 61%.

TOP Esports at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 36% 1% 0%

The wall: Movistar KOI. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Hanwha Life Esports.

Beat Hanwha Life Esports and playoff chances go from 36% to 60%.

Invictus Gaming at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 35% 1% 0%

The wall: CTBC Flying Oyster. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Gen.G Esports.

Beat Gen.G Esports and playoff chances go from 35% to 59%.

Movistar KOI at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 35% 1% 0%

The wall: TOP Esports. Key day: Saturday, October 24, against Bilibili Gaming.

Beat Bilibili Gaming and playoff chances go from 35% to 59%.

CTBC Flying Oyster at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

✓ 36% 1% 0%

The wall: Invictus Gaming. Key day: Friday, October 23, against Team Liquid.

Beat Team Liquid and playoff chances go from 36% to 53%.

FURIA Esports at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

10% 4% 0% 0%

The wall: MVK Esports.

Cloud9 at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

3% 1% 0% 0%

The wall: FURIA Esports.

MVK Esports at Worlds Championship 2026: chances, path, next match

Out — — —

Knocked them out: Karmine Corp. Ended MVK Esports's run in Play-in, 0–3.

Live this week
Try Ensitics free.

One free pick a day — see the model's call before the match.

Get Started — Free